Every national leader, scored across nine dimensions of power — from economy and diplomacy to crisis management and defense. Compare current form against the legacy they'll leave behind, and see who's really delivering.
Diff-Adjusted (Legendary)28ⓘDifficulty-Adjusted Score— this leader's Overall scaled by their nation's Governing Difficulty tier (Legendary). It rewards strong results in structurally constrained states and applies a modest discount in high-capacity ones.
Salva Kiir Mayardit, President of South Sudan, is rated 24 (lower tier) on NationsHelm's Leadership scale. In global media, their Communication signal reads 38/100 (high confidence), tracked from GDELT. The pressure to watch: Economic Pressure — Economy score of 15 indicates ongoing challenges with macroeconomic management in South Sudan.
The data & sources
The 24 rating is a derived blend of Salva Kiir Mayardit's leadership dimensions, each computed from sourced public inputs — none estimated. Communication 38/100 derives from GDELT DOC tone, reach and message resilience (high confidence). Diplomatic Signal 53/100 (medium confidence) from GDELT 2.1 events + DOC. Governing-stability conditions score 35/100, renormalised over WGI, V-Dem, UCDP and the Fragile States Index.
The risk read
For country-risk purposes, Salva Kiir Mayardit's tenure reads as fragile: governing-stability conditions score 35/100. Crisis exposure 56/100 (Moderate exposure); response 50/100 (In line with comparable crises). External conditions score 47/100 — the difficulty of the hand they govern. For the full opportunity, market-pulse and resilience read, see South Sudan's nation page.
The strategic read
Governing conditions: stability 35/100, external conditions 47/100. Live pressures: economic pressure and governance accountability. The sharpest institutional vulnerability is Institutional Integrity (2/100).
Salva Kiir Mayardit is the President of South Sudan, from the Sudan People's Liberation Movement.
How is Salva Kiir Mayardit rated on NationsHelm?
Salva Kiir Mayardit holds a Leadership Rating of 24 out of 100 (very weak). It is a derived blend of sourced leadership dimensions — governance, communication, diplomacy and others — never an estimate.
What challenges does Salva Kiir Mayardit face?
The main pressures are economic pressure and governance accountability. Economy score of 15 indicates ongoing challenges with macroeconomic management in South Sudan.
How is Salva Kiir Mayardit viewed internationally?
Salva Kiir Mayardit has a Communication signal of 38/100 from GDELT media coverage and a Diplomatic Signal of 53/100 from GDELT events.
Data coverage:112 live·72 derived·1 authored·15 beta|Last refreshed: Jul 15, 2026|Methodology:Reconstructable|Cite:How to cite
Spot an error?
Source
World Bank + derived
MethodWeighted average
ConfMedium
✓ Reconstructable
ⓘLeadership Rating is a weighted average of 9 dimensions. Five use live World Bank indicators; the rest are derived from sourced signals (WIPO/Oxford/UNESCO, GDELT, World Bank + UCDP, survey data) where coverage exists. Diplomacy is a GDELT-derived engagement proxy, and anything unsourced shows as no data. Political position is V-Dem V-Party expert coding. Full weights on the Methodology page.
Communication signal
Generating…
Crisis signal
Generating…
Diplomatic signal
Generating…
Leadership conditions
Generating…
Current challenges
Economy15
Economic stewardship, growth, and macro stability
Politics26
Political coalition-building and governability
Source: Derived·Method: Ranked by stat value·✓ ReconstructableⓘUp to five strengths (dimensions scoring 70+) and five weaknesses (scoring below 70), ranked from the leadership radar. Descriptions are fixed per dimension and don't vary by country. Dimensions without a sourced signal show as no data. Full model on the Methodology page.
Leadership Radar
Current Capability
Governance
13
Economy
15
Diplomacy
40
Politics
26
Crisis Response
50
Vision
9
Communication
38
Institutional Integrity
2
Defense
46
Source: World Bank + derived·Method: Mixed·✓ ReconstructableⓘGovernance, Economy and Politics use live World Bank / WGI indicators. Institutional Integrity (V-Dem), Vision (WIPO/Oxford/UNESCO), Defense (real force counts), Crisis Response (World Bank + UCDP + WGI), Communication (GDELT) and Diplomacy (the Diplomatic Signal) are sourced or derived signals. Any dimension without a sourced signal shows as no data. Full model on the Methodology page.
Country scores are blended with live World Bank data where available. Difficulty reflects the structural challenge of governing this nation — not the leader's individual performance.
Source: World Bank·Method: Unweighted average·✓ ReconstructableⓘCountry scores are the unweighted average of scored World Bank indicators — the same model used on the nation's own page. Difficulty reflects structural constraints on governing this nation, independent of the current leader, and is used to compute the Difficulty-Adjusted Score.
Leadership Archetype
Awaiting data
No archetype yet — not enough sourced stats to classify one. The archetype is derived from the leadership stat profile; it populates once enough dimensions are sourced.
Crisis
Exposure
56/ 100
Moderate exposure
Response
50/ 100
In line with comparable crises
High confidence · 4 crisis years in mandate
Worst year (2016) — shock drivers
Conflict intensity74
Political-stability decline41
Each is a global percentile: how this year's shock compares to every country-year on record. Disaster shocks are not yet sourced (no open-licensed annual series).
Sourced from 16 mandate-years (2011–2026), 3 of 4 shock components present; damage ranked against 420 comparable crises.
SourceWorld Bank GDP + UCDP deaths (annual + Candidate GED) + WGI stabilityMethodCountry-year shock severity · peer-relative damageConfHigh✓ ReconstructableⓘCrisis Exposure measures how severely a leader was tested — a peak-biased aggregate of per-year shock severity (conflict intensity, economic contraction and political-stability decline vs. recent normal) over the mandate. It is context, not a verdict: high exposure is neither good nor bad on its own. Crisis Response measures how the country fared during its genuine crisis years relative to comparable crisis episodes worldwide — country-years hit with the same shock severity. Higher = less national damage than peers at that severity. Leaders who never faced a major shock are marked Untested rather than rewarded. Per country-year, real WB/UCDP/WGI shocks are winsorised and percentile-ranked into a ShockSeverity; Exposure is the peak-biased mandate aggregate. Crisis years (severity ≥ 60) score Response = 100 − damage percentile among comparable-severity crises worldwide, then severity-weighted over the mandate. Untested = no major shock (never rewarded). Absent components are reweighted, never filled.
Diplomatic Signal
53/ 10070% sourced · 2026-07-07
Engagement volume40%35
International diplomatic events the country takes part in (GDELT Events) — country-level
Cooperative share30%76
Share of international interactions coded cooperative vs conflictual — country-level
Media tone20%—
Favourability of foreign coverage of the leader on diplomacy — leader-level
Geographic spread10%—
Distinct foreign source countries covering the leader on diplomacy — leader-level
Partial coverage: 70% of the formula's weight is currently sourced; the score renormalises over what's present. Remaining components appear as data lands.
SourceGDELT 2.1 Events + DOC APIMethodWeighted proxy (40/30/20/10)ConfMedium✓ ReconstructableⓘA computed proxy for how actively and cooperatively the country engages the world, plus how the leader's diplomacy reads in foreign media: Engagement Volume (GDELT 2.1 Events, 40%), Cooperative Share (30%), Diplomacy-Media Tone (20%) and Geographic Spread (10%). Renormalised over available data, shown only when at least half its weight is real. Full model on the Methodology page.
Reach is discounted to 40% of its raw percentile because tenure-mean coverage tone skews unfavourable — hostile attention isn't credited as positive reach.
SourceGDELT DOC 2.0MethodWeighted blend (42/33/25)ConfHigh✓ ReconstructableⓘA pure media-communication signal, blended from GDELT and renormalised over what's present: Coverage Tone (42%); Media Reach (33%, gated down when coverage is hostile); and Message Resilience (25%). Domestic approval is not counted here. Shown only where GDELT coverage exists. Full model on the Methodology page.
Current Challenges
Economic Pressurehigh
Economy score of 15 indicates ongoing challenges with macroeconomic management in South Sudan.
Governance Accountabilityhigh
Institutional Integrity score of 2 reflects persistent accountability pressures that constrain institutional effectiveness.
Institutional Dependencyhigh
Stability score of 35 indicates the system's performance is heavily dependent on this leader — a concentration risk.
Legitimacy Pressurehigh
Continuity & legitimacy of 4 points to a contested or fragile mandate underpinning South Sudan's institutions.
Source: Derived·Method: Rule-based·✓ ReconstructableⓘFlags challenges when key dimensions fall below thresholds (Economy < 55, Institutional Integrity < 50, Stability < 50) or difficulty is Very Hard / Legendary. Economy derives from World Bank indicators; Institutional Integrity from V-Dem's executive-corruption index (World Bank Control of Corruption as fallback).
Leadership Conditions
Government Stability
35
Contested legitimacy · High factional pressure · Weak rule of law
External Conditions
47
Adverse global conditions.
Stability breakdown
Political stability30%40
WGI Political Stability & Absence of Violence
Institutional strength20%13
WGI Rule of Law, Government Effectiveness & Control of Corruption
Continuity & legitimacy15%4
V-Dem political continuity and regime legitimacy
Violence & safety15%74
UCDP organized-violence deaths, population-scaled and inverted — prefers the fresh current-year UCDP-CED reading, else the finalized annual GED
Social cohesion10%6
Fragile States Index social-cohesion pillar
Stability trend10%81
3-year direction of the WGI stability score
Time in Office 180 months·Since Jul 2011
Source: WGI · V-Dem · UCDP · FSI · World Bank·Method: Weighted blend·✓ ReconstructableⓘGovernment Stability blends six sourced signals, renormalised over what's available: WGI Political Stability (30%), institutional strength (20%), V-Dem continuity (15%), UCDP violence deaths (current-year UCDP-CED where available, else finalized annual GED, 15%), Fragile States social cohesion (10%) and the 3-year WGI trend (10%). External Conditions derives from a World Bank GDP-growth shock over the tenure.